Sharpening the Arsenal

India's Evolving Nuclear Deterrence Policy

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  • Speaking
  • in
  • Delhi
  • in
  • November
  • 2016,
  • Manohar
  • Parrikar,
  • India's
  • then
  • Defence
  • Minister,
  • said
  • there
  • should
  • be
  • an
  • element
  • of
  • unpredictability
  • in
  • the
  • country's
  • military
  • strategy.
  • He
  • wondered
  • whether
  • India's
  • nuclear
  • doctrine
  • should
  • be
  • constrained
  • by
  • a
  • 'no-first-use'
  • posture.
  • The
  • essence
  • of
  • the
  • defence
  • minister's
  • introspection
  • was
  • that
  • ambiguity
  • enhances
  • deterrence.
  • This
  • view
  • has
  • been
  • expressed
  • by
  • several
  • nuclear
  • strategists.
  • Nuclear
  • doctrines
  • are
  • not
  • written
  • in
  • stone
  • and
  • are
  • never
  • absolutely
  • rigid.
  • They
  • are
  • not
  • binding
  • international
  • treaties
  • that
  • must
  • be
  • adhered
  • to
  • in
  • letter
  • and
  • spirit.
  • Fifteen
  • years
  • have
  • passed
  • since
  • India's
  • nuclear
  • doctrine
  • was
  • approved
  • by
  • the
  • Cabinet
  • Committee
  • on
  • Security
  • in
  • January
  • 2003.
  • A
  • review
  • of
  • the
  • nuclear
  • doctrine
  • is
  • long
  • overdue.
  • Credible
  • minimum
  • deterrence
  • and
  • the
  • posture
  • of
  • no-first-use
  • have
  • stood
  • the
  • test
  • of
  • time.
  • But
  • is
  • there
  • no
  • conceivable
  • operational
  • contingency
  • that
  • justifies
  • a
  • first
  • strike?
  • Do
  • we
  • need
  • a
  • new
  • nuclear
  • policy
  • for
  • our
  • new
  • geopolitical
  • reality?
  • This
  • book
  • delves
  • into
  • the
  • debate
  • and
  • charts
  • out
  • a
  • way ahead.
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